Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.215700 0.250928 0.292066 0.344156 0.409072 0.488278 0.593752
2025-02-23 0.163717 0.207758 0.265647 0.349424 0.471319 0.648662 0.939497
2025-03-02 0.132862 0.179209 0.245548 0.351819 0.527048 0.824056 1.417782
2025-03-09 0.111888 0.157893 0.228124 0.349997 0.572853 1.004901 2.048974
2025-03-16 0.096015 0.140248 0.211232 0.342558 0.604340 1.175543 2.829801
2025-03-23 0.087146 0.131538 0.206294 0.353674 0.674754 1.471242 4.328229
2025-03-30 0.077494 0.119795 0.193601 0.346262 0.702732 1.685099 5.952496
2025-04-06 0.071318 0.112920 0.188164 0.351726 0.762996 2.037935 9.041215
2025-04-13 0.065025 0.104905 0.179116 0.347027 0.795983 2.337649 12.942990
2025-04-20 0.060869 0.100167 0.175547 0.353691 0.863832 2.838304 21.058499
2025-04-27 0.057596 0.096617 0.173719 0.364003 0.948607 3.523499 37.717051
2025-05-04 0.054544 0.093096 0.171351 0.372389 1.032859 4.346098 72.082468
2025-05-11 0.051899 0.090137 0.169905 0.383504 1.137081 5.514085 168.078556
2025-05-18 0.049155 0.086683 0.166883 0.389777 1.229670 6.862942 455.226232
2025-05-25 0.046479 0.083073 0.162970 0.392602 1.312307 8.418138 1616.983981
2025-06-01 0.043798 0.079174 0.157831 0.390518 1.373942 10.043916 9022.218835
2025-06-08 0.041042 0.074853 0.151113 0.381945 1.401012 11.455959 127311.067439
2025-06-15 0.039646 0.073315 0.150974 0.394770 1.550226 15.408299 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037351 0.069598 0.144909 0.386218 1.577461 17.679632 NaN
2025-06-29 0.035925 0.067681 0.143195 0.392522 1.700848 23.104134 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034119 0.064760 0.138515 0.387100 1.748595 27.449988 NaN
2025-07-13 0.032981 0.063258 0.137409 0.394790 1.895491 37.381020 NaN
2025-07-20 0.032071 0.062199 0.137364 0.406701 2.090369 54.597639 NaN